26 05 2008
The Peak Oil
By Charles, 26 05 2008 à 01:42 - Second season
Haven't you ever heard of this stuff named The Peak Oil ?
Since the price of benzine actually skyrockets in France, I started asking myself where the hell are we going to with that oil based society.. are we going to ruin everything just because we wanted cars some decades ago ?
That's why I did nose around on the Internet about Oil and so.. and that's why I discovered all these theories about the Peak Oil.
To made it clear, the Peak Oil is the idea that some day we will reach the maximum rate of oil production, and that since that day we will go surely into real big scarcity for this resource which is vital for our whole economy.
For some, we reached the Peak Oil in 2005. Great. At least, one good thing done.
Whatever the date, what you have to understand is that when it arrives, it's going to be very bad times down there.
You can have a more complex explanation, if you need some, on to the Peak Oil page on Wikipedia.
But, to me, the most frightening point in these theories is not the shortage of oil in itself (we could always run, if cars are no useful anymore) but its consequences :
- Food is mostly produced and distributed thanks to oil. Tractors, fertilizers, breeding cattle, supermarkets are depending on cheap oil. So fewer oil means fewer food. That's a serious threat for Weight Watchers regimes.
- Technology is mainly depending on oil too. Computers, Ipod, Digital Cameras, Internet are relying on oil production, somewhere in their construction or utilization process. Come on, wake up people, the future of Facebook is at stake.
- Consumer goods are built with plastic more often than not. And Plastic is made of.. guest what ! So quite everything we use nowadays has to do with the oil system. What are we going to do if we can't produce and use these objects anymore ? Are we going to start thinking ? I guess not.
- Most of medecine are now synthesized from oil products. So you'd better not be ill too often, unless you believe in Ayurveda.
- And what about holidays ? It won't be possible to get yourself tanned in Punta Cana anymore. At least, we will get less bloody Tourists in France.
- Democracy is soluble in oil too. And the most paranoid guys among the Peak Oil Evangelists pretend that democracy is jeopardized by oil rarity. Wars and fascist regimes will arise because of global poverty and growing demand for food. Let alone, we don't need oil rarity to let Democracy be endangered, it makes sense. But the question remains : how are we going to make wars if tanks or planes can't attack anymore ? With bones and rocks ?
As you can see, Peak Oil theorists are not optimists by nature. Some of them are even darker than apocalypse prophets. I am quite sure that oil ressources are not endless, and that we will find ourselves short of oil sooner than we expected. But I am also quite sure that we would find some arrangement before falling back into middle ages. Or not.
The only thing that comfort me is the fact I will surely be dead when all this mess will happen.


